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Saturday, October 30, 2010

Global Economy

      The rise in crude oil shows that the global economy is strengthening ; this helps in the rise of share market also.

Inflation

  Inflation rises when global economy of a country rises .If there is no growth for their economy then Deflation occurs .

Currency carry Trading

Anyone borrowing in Yen and putting the money into US Treasuries (US government bonds) has received a double pay-off: from an interest rate difference of more than three percentage points and from the dollar’s rise against the yen.

Here's an example of a "Yen carry trade": a trader borrows 1,000 Japanese yen from a Japanese bank, converts the funds into U.S. dollars and buys a bond for the equivalent amount. Let's assume that the bond pays 4.5% and the Japanese interest rate is set at 0.1%. The trader stands to make a profit of 4.5% as long as the exchange rate between the countries does not change. Many professional traders use this trade because the gains can become very large when leverage is taken into consideration.

     The big risk in a carry trade is the uncertainty of exchange rates. Using the example above, if the U.S. dollar were to fall in value relative to the Japanese yen, then the trader would run the risk of losing money. Also, these transactions are generally done with a lot of leverage, so a small movement in exchange rates can result in huge losses unless the position is hedged appropriately

 Carry Trading is happening due to low interest rates in a particular country 

Why Interest rate is low in Japan is that in Japan most of people are old (and misers)they don't have much needs they deposit most their money in Bank for interest and also Japan's economy is already development to a extent.

IF Inflation rices the price of utensils will rise which will affect an economy and the value of their currency diminishes; which result in export- import companies in that country.

Inflation is normally controlled by Central bank of a particular country by increasing the interest rate thus most of the people invest their money in bank rather than purchasing cars and FMCG products thus the demand decrease and inflation slopes down.

China and their artificial demand
If demand is not rising ;demand can be created artificially by decreasing the interest rates thus the people will take loans and there should be better standard of living of their citizen.But if interest rates are increased in the global economy which will collapse the economy of a country which creates demand artificially.

Share Stocks

 50 stocks in National Stock exchange are known as NIFTY


A B B Limited (ABB.BO)     Capital Goods    
ACC Limited (ACC-BY)     Cement    
Ambuja Cements Ltd     Cement    
Axis Bank     Banking    
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (500103-BY)     Capital Goods    
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd     Oil Marketing    
Bharti Airtel Ltd (BHARTIARTL-BY)     Telecommunications    
Cairn Energy     Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration    
Cipla Ltd     Pharmaceuticals    
DLF Ltd.     Real Estate Development    
GAIL (India) Ltd     Oil & Gas Refining    
HCL Technologies     Information Technology Services    
HDFC (HODFI-BY)     Real Estate    
HDFC Bank (HDB)     Banking    
Hero Honda Motors Ltd     Auto Makers    
Hindalco Industries Ltd.(HINDALCOSL-BY)     Metals and Mining Industry    
Hindustan Unilever Ltd.(HUL-BY)     Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)    
ICICI Bank (ICICIBANK-BY)     Banking    
Idea Cellular     Telecommunications    
Infrastructure Development Finance Company Limited     [[]]    
Infosys Technologies (INFOSYS-BY)     Information Technology Services    
ITC Ltd (ITCSL-BY)     Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)    
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd     Capital Goods    
Jaiprakash Associates Limited     Capital Goods    
Larsen & Toubro Ltd.(LNT-BY)     Capital Goods    
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd (MNM-BY)     Auto Makers    
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (532500-BY)     Auto Makers    
National Thermal Power Corporation Ltd. (NTPC-BY)     Energy    
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGCSL-BY)     Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration    
Power Grid Corporation of India     Energy    
Punjab National Bank     Banking    
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. (RANBAXY-BY)     Pharmaceuticals    
Reliance Communications (532712-BY)     Telecommunications    
Reliance Industries Limited (RELIANCE-IN)     Conglomerates    
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd.(RELINFRA-BY)     Energy    
Reliance Power     Energy    
Reliance Capital Ltd (BOM:500111)     Financal    
Siemens AG (SI)     Capital Goods    
State Bank of India (SBI-BY)     Banking    
Steel Authority of India Limited (500113-BY)     Metals and Mining Industry    
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. (STERLITEIND-BY)     Metals and Mining Industry    
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd     Pharmaceuticals    
Suzlon Energy Limited (532667-BY)     Hybrid and Alternative Energy Technology
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS-BY)     Information Technology Services    
Tata Motors (TTM)     Auto Makers    
Tata Power Company Ltd. (TATAPOWERSL-BY)     Energy    
Tata Steel Limited (TATASTL-BY)     Metals and Mining Industry    
Unitech     Real Estate Development    
Videsh Sanchar Nigam (VSL) (now renamed to Tata Communications Ltd)     Telecommunications    
Wipro Limited (WIPRO-BY)     Information Technology Services


Bank NIFTY
ICICI BANK, AXIS BANK ,ORIENT BANK ,CANARA , BANK OF BARODA ,HDFC BANK    
IDBI ,UNION BANK ,SBI, ,PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK, KOTAK BANK ,BANK OF INDIA 

Other Major Stocks are 


1) CNX 100
2) S & P CNX 500

Monday, October 18, 2010

Share Tips

,RSI (Relative Strength Index)  Below 20 --> dont buy those stocks

RSI 80 and above --> can buy those stocks

Buy Less PE & High Dividend yield stocks

In simple if a PE of share is 2 that means it will take 2 years to double your value of the stock value , if it is 10then it will take 10 years to double your stock value

Pivot Point= [ High Value of share(Previous Day) + Low value of share (Previous Day) + Closing value of share (Previous Day) ] / 3

Regular High = 2 * Pivot Point - Previous days Low value of share

Regular Low = 2 *  Pivot Point - Previous days High value of share

More than Regular high = Pivot Point + High value (today) - Low value (Today)

Less than Regular Low= Pivot Point + Low value (Today) - High value (today)

Invest in Growth stock ( IT,Entertainment,Capital goods ) ,Infrastructure

Share trading is a home business opportunity

30 stocks in Mumbai Stock exchange are known as SENSEX .These are


Code Name Sector Adj. Factor Weight in Index(%)
500410 ACC Housing Related 0.55 0.77
500103 BHEL Capital Goods 0.35 3.26
532454 Bharti Airtel Telecom 0.35 3
532868 DLF Universal Limited Housing related 0.25 1.02
500300 Grasim Industries Diversified 0.75 1.5
500010 HDFC Finance 0.90 5.21
500180 HDFC Bank Finance 0.85 5.03
500182 Hero Honda Motors Ltd. Transport Equipments 0.50 1.43
500440 Hindalco Industries Ltd. Metal,Metal Products & Mining 0.7 1.75
500696 Hindustan Lever Limited FMCG 0.50 2.08
532174 ICICI Bank Finance 1.00 7.86
500209 Infosys Information Technology 0.85 10.26
500875 ITC Limited FMCG 0.70 4.99
532532 Jaiprakash Associates Housing Related 0.55 1.25
500510 Larsen & Toubro Capital Goods 0.90 6.85
500520 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited Transport Equipments 0.75 1.71
532500 Maruti Suzuki Transport Equipments 0.50 1.71
532541‎ NIIT Technologies Information Technology 0.15 2.03
532555 NTPC Power 0.15 2.03
500304‎ NIIT Information Technology 0.15 2.03
500312 ONGC Oil & Gas 0.20 3.87
532712 Reliance Communications Telecom 0.35 0.92
500325 Reliance Industries Oil & Gas 0.50 12.94
500390 Reliance Infrastructure Power 0.65 1.19
500112 State Bank of India Finance 0.45 4.57
500900 Sterlite Industries Metal, Metal Products, and Mining 0.45 2.39
524715 Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Healthcare 0.40 1.03
532540 Tata Consultancy Services Information Technology 0.25 3.61
500570 Tata Motors Transport Equipments 0.55 1.66
500400 Tata Power Power 0.70 1.63
500470 Tata Steel Metal, Metal Products & Mining 0.70 2.88
507685 Wipro Information Technology 0.20 1.61




  • DLF replaced Dr. Reddy's Lab on November 19, 2007.
  • Jaiprakash Associates Ltd replaced Bajaj Auto Ltd on March 14,2008.
  • Sterlite Industries replaced Ambuja Cements on July 28, 2008.
  • Tata Power Company replaced Cipla Ltd. on July 28, 2008.
  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries replaced Satyam Computer Services on January 8, 2009
  • Hero Honda Motors Ltd. replaced Ranbaxy on June 29, 2009
  • Cipla to replace Sun Pharma from May 3, 2010
  • JSPL replaced Grasim in 2010

Books

Vikram Seth - A Suitable Boy
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1 Not a Penny more ,Not a Penny Lenss (1976)
2 Kane and Abel (1979)
Sucessful book which is brought by someone somewhere
everyday .Almost 30 years after it was published
3 Twelve Red Herrings (1994)
My favorite is how Archer sums up the 1994 short story collection
4 False Impression (2006)
A lady is murder on the eve of 9/11 incident is occurring at Tokyo
----------------
1 The Art of Orathory
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A certain ambiguity -- The Mathematical Novel
The Tibetan book of living and dying --Soygal Ripoche (1998)